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新华社:恶意做空中国将面临巨大损失 甚至法律严惩

新华社 · 2016-01-25 · 来源:观察者网
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  肆无忌惮的投机和恶意做空将面临更高的交易成本,甚至可能是严重的法律后果。人民币汇率一事也证明,中国政府有足够的资源和政策工具掌控总体经济形势,也能应对任何外部挑战。

  新华社23日发表英文版评论文章,题:中国经济转型测试全球投资者的智慧和勇气。文章警告称,企图恶意做空中国资本市场的投资者将面临巨大损失。

  文章称,一个聪明、眼光长远的投资者应当抓住中国经济转型的机会,通过投资中国的未来,收获中国改革和新经济的果实,实现双赢。

  但对于恶意做空者,他们“应当考虑中国政府正在不断完善市场监管和法律体系。所以,肆无忌惮的投机和恶意做空将面临更高的交易成本,甚至可能是严重的法律后果。”

  文章最后强调,中国政府有足够的资源和政策工具掌控总体经济形势,也能应对任何外部挑战。

  以下是新华社英文评论全文,全文翻译如下:

  评论:中国经济转型测试全球投资者的智慧和勇气

  北京,1月23日(新华社)-中国经济正进行大规模的调结构和转型,国际投资者们似乎对中国资本市场的未来产生巨大分歧。

  一些人相信中国资本市场正经历一场大规模危机,他们试图通过投机甚至恶意做空从中牟利。

  最新的例子是,一些激进投资者企图做空人民币,最近人民币兑美元汇率持续贬值。然而,随着中国货币监管当局采取有效措施稳定汇率,这些投机者们将面临巨大损失。

  同时,还有很多投资者看到了中国经济转型中的新机遇。

  伦敦Preqin咨询公司的数据显示,2015年,全球风险投资机构对中国初创企业进行了1555起投资,总额达370亿美元,比上年大增147%。这表明投资者看好中国鼓励创新的政策和友好的营商环境。

  在一个成熟的市场经济体中,投机做空和长期投资都是投资者的自由选择,因此不能被贴上“正确与错误”或者“好与坏”的标签。

  但是鉴于中国是全球第二大经济体的特殊性质,可以公平地说,对中国的选择往往反映出一个投资者的智慧和勇气。

  中国有句老话:放长线,钓大鱼。这句话很适用于当前的中国经济形势。

  很多主流经济学家和学者指出,中国经济转型是一项富有挑战和艰巨的任务,而且转型时期可能持续很长且充满痛苦。但中国没有衰退风险,而且目前6.9%的经济增速依然足以维持中国的长期繁荣。

  与此同时,中国政府积极推进一系列基础性改革,支持创新创业,国内外的投资者有望从经济转型中受益。

  比如,政府不遗余力地削减过剩产能,促进内需,鼓励发展服务业。政府还保证向私人资本和外国投资者扩大市场准入。

  中国美国商会最新报告表明,去年将近三分之二的成员企业在中国盈利,有四分之三获得了很好的投资回报。报告还发现,绝大多数的成员企业对中国市场的增长持乐观态度,而且超过90%的企业认为创新是赢在中国的关键。

  一个聪明、眼光长远的投资者应当抓住中国经济转型的机会,通过投资中国的未来,收获中国改革和新经济的果实,实现双赢。

  至于那些押注中国经济“最终失败”的人,他们应当看看过去40年,看看中国如何通过坚持改革开放,从一个欠发达经济体发展成全球经济增长的引擎。

  他们还应当考虑中国政府正在不断完善市场监管和法律体系。所以,肆无忌惮的投机和恶意做空将面临更高的交易成本,甚至可能是严重的法律后果。

  而且,人民币汇率一事也证明,中国政府有足够的资源和政策工具掌控总体经济形势,也能应对任何外部挑战。

  以下是英文原文:

  Commentary: Chinese economic transitiontesting global investors" wisdom, courage

  BEIJING, Jan. 23 (Xinhua) -- As the Chineseeconomy is undergoing profound restructuring and transition, internationalinvestors seem to be split in their judgment about the prospects for China"scapital market.

  Some people believe that the Chinese capitalmarket is experiencing a major crisis, of which they try to take advantage withspeculative actions and even vicious shorting activities.

  The latest example is that some radicalspeculators tried to short sell the Chinese currency yuan, which has been depreciatingagainst the U.S. dollar recently. However, with the Chinese monetary authoritytaking effective measures to stabilize the value of the yuan, those speculatorsare expected to suffer huge losses.

  Meanwhile, many other investors see newopportunities in the transformation of the Chinese economy.

  According to data from the London-basedconsulting firm Preqin Ltd, in 2015, global venture capital made 1,555investments in China"s startups with a total worth of 37 billion U.S. dollars,up 147 percent over the previous year, showing the investors" confidence inChina"s pro-innovation policy and business-friendly environment.

  In a mature market economy, bothspeculative shorting and long-term investment are free choices of investors,and therefore should not be labeled as "right or wrong" or "goodor bad."

  But given the unique nature of the Chineseeconomy, currently the world"s second largest, it should be fair to say thatthe choices made on China often reflect an investor"s wisdom and courage.

  As an old Chinese saying goes: To catch abig fish, one must cast a long line. The ancient Chinese wisdom fits thecurrent Chinese economic situation well.

  Many leading economists and scholars havepointed out that while China"s economic restructuring is a challenging andarduous mission and the transitional period could be lengthy and painful, Chinais at no risk of a recession and the current 6.9 percent economic growth rateis still good enough to sustain the country"s long-term prosperity.

  Meanwhile, with the Chinese governmentactively pushing forward a series of fundamental reforms and supportinginnovation-based business startups, both domestic entrepreneurs and foreigninvestors are expected to benefit from the economic restructuring process.

  For example, the government has spared noefforts to cut excessive production capacity, boost domestic consumption andencourage the development of the service sector. It has also granted moremarket access to private capital and foreign investment.

  The latest report from the American Chamberof Commerce in China showed that last year nearly two thirds of its membercompanies made profit in China, and three quarters saw good investment returns.The report also found that most of the member companies were optimistic aboutthe future growth of the Chinese market, and over 90 percent of them viewedinnovation as the key to their future success in China.

  A smart, far-sighted investor would seizethe opportunity arising from China"s economic restructuring, and achieve awin-win outcome by investing in China"s future and reaping the fruits ofChina"s reform and robust new economy.

  As for those who want to bet on the"ultimate failure" of the Chinese economy, they should look back atthe past four decades, which witnessed China"s growth from an underdevelopedeconomy into a global economic powerhouse through continuous reform and openingup.

  They should also take into considerationthe fact that the Chinese government has been constantly improving thecountry"s market regulatory system and legal system. As a result, recklessspeculations and vicious shorting will face higher trading costs and possiblysevere legal consequences.

  And just as proved in the yuan exchangerate case, the Chinese government has sufficient resources and policy tools tokeep the overall economic situation under control and cope with any externalchallenges.

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